Cyclone Prediction

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The low pressure areas depressions and cyclones are routinely monitored using satellite, DWR and AWS data in real time. There has been significant improvement in the forecasting of cyclones track, movement and intensity during the past four years which has been achieved primarily due to implementation of high-resolution models and augmentation of capability to acquire and analyze all available atmospheric and ocean data. The average operational forecast error for 24 hours track forecast is about 140 km and landfall is 80 km. However, continuous efforts are underway to improve the forecasts further. This can be achieved through improved scientific understanding, enhanced observation network, generation of in-situ observations from the cyclone core and environment along with improved modeling techniques through collaborative research.

Last Updated On 04/09/2015 - 15:20
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