Forecast Demonstration Project

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The Forecast Demonstration Projects seek to enhance scientific understanding in key areas through special observational campaigns coupled with intense modeling efforts so that new/ improved operational forecasting techniques can be evolved. Three areas considered are cyclonic storms, fog and thunderstorms because they are the major sources of damaging hazard potentials. The FDPs are benefited from the recent Modernization drive that raised the basic observational level to a suitable standard.

There has been an improvement in initial values and position of the tropical cyclone utilizing 3-DVAR data assimilation system of conventional and non-conventional data sets over data sparse oceanic region. The vortex re-location and initialization including simulation of track and intensity of tropical cyclones have been generated through multi-scale model super ensemble forecasting system.

Last Updated On 05/14/2014 - 16:57
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